I te tau 2023, 153 ngā tāngata i mate i te kirika dengue i Kerala, e 32% o ngā mate dengue i Inia. Ko Bihar te kawanatanga tuarua o te maha o ngā mate dengue, me te 74 noa iho o ngā mate dengue i pūrongohia, he iti iho i te haurua o te tatauranga o Kerala. I te tau kua pahure ake nei, i whakapā atu te kaipūtaiao āhuarangi a Roxy Mathew Call, e mahi ana i tētahi tauira matapae pakarutanga dengue, ki te āpiha matua o Kerala mō te huringa āhuarangi me te hauora e tono ana mō te pūtea mō te kaupapa. Kua whakawhanakehia e tana tīma i te Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM) tētahi tauira ōrite mō Pune. I kī a Tākuta Khil, he kaipūtaiao āhuarangi i te Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM), "Ka tino whai hua tēnei ki te tari hauora o Kerala nā te mea ka āwhina i te aroturuki tupato me te tango i ngā mahi ārai hei ārai i te putanga mai o ngā mate." āpiha pokapū.
Ko ngā wāhitau īmēra mana anake o te Kaiwhakahaere Hauora Tūmatanui me te Kaiwhakahaere Tuarua Hauora Tūmatanui i hoatu ki a ia. Ahakoa ngā īmēra whakamaumahara me ngā karere kuputuhi, kāore i tukuna he raraunga.
Pērā anō hoki mō ngā raraunga ua. "Mā ngā tirohanga tika, ngā matapae tika, ngā whakatūpato tika me ngā kaupapa here tika, ka taea te whakaora i te tini o ngā oranga," te kī a Tākuta Cole, nāna i whiwhi i te tohu pūtaiao teitei rawa atu o Īnia i tēnei tau, te Tohu Kairangahau Whenua Vigyan Yuva Shanti Swarup Bhatnagar. I tuku ia i tētahi whaikōrero ko 'Climate: What hangs in the balance' te taitara i te Manorama Conclave i Thiruvananthapuram i te Paraire.
I kī a Tākuta Cole, nā te huringa āhuarangi, kua rite ngā Western Ghats me te Moana Arapi i ia taha o Kerala ki ngā rewera me ngā moana. "Ehara i te mea kei te huri noa te āhuarangi, engari kei te tere tonu te huri," tana kī. Ko te otinga anake, e ai ki a ia, ko te waihanga i tētahi Kerala e pai ana ki te taiao. "Me arotahi tātou ki te taumata panchayat. Me urutau ngā rori, ngā kura, ngā whare, ētahi atu whare me ngā whenua ahuwhenua ki te huringa āhuarangi," tana kī.
Tuatahi, i mea ia, me waihanga e Kerala tētahi whatunga aroturuki āhuarangi kiato, kia whai hua hoki. I te 30 o Hūrae, te rā i horo ai te whenua i Wayanad, i tukuna e te Tari Matawhenua o Īnia (IMD) me te Mana Whakahaere Āhuatanga Kino o Kerala (KSDMA) ētahi mahere ine ua e rua. E ai ki te mahere KSDMA, i pāngia a Wayanad e te ua nui rawa (neke atu i te 115mm) me te ua nui i te 30 o Hūrae, heoi, e whā ngā pānui rerekē a IMD mō Wayanad: he ua nui rawa, he ua nui, he ua ngawari me te ua māmā;
E ai ki te mahere a te IMD, he iti noa iho te ua i te nuinga o ngā rohe o Thiruvananthapuram me Kollam, engari i kōrero a KSDMA he iti noa iho te ua i pā ki ēnei rohe e rua. "Kāore e taea e mātou te aro atu ki tēnā i ēnei rā. Me waihanga e mātou he whatunga aroturuki āhuarangi matotoru ki Kerala kia mārama ai, kia matapaetia ai hoki te huarere," te kī a Tākuta Kohl. "Me wātea ēnei raraunga ki te marea," tana kī.
I Kerala, he kura ia 3 kiromita te tawhiti. Ka taea te whakauru i ēnei kura ki ngā taputapu whakahaere āhuarangi. "Ka taea te whakauru i ia kura ki ngā ine ua me ngā inemahana hei ine i te pāmahana. I te tau 2018, i aroturukihia e tētahi kura te ua me ngā taumata wai i te awa o Meenachil, ā, i whakaorangia e ia ngā whānau e 60 i raro i te awa mā te matapae i ngā waipuke," tana kī.
Waihoki, ka taea e ngā kura te whakamahi i te hiko o te rā, ā, ka taea hoki te whai puna wai ua. "Mā tēnei, e kore e mōhio noa ngā ākonga ki te huringa āhuarangi, engari ka whakarite hoki mōna," tana kī. Ka uru ā rātou raraunga ki te whatunga aroturuki.
Heoi, ko te matapae i ngā waipuke ohorere me ngā horo whenua me whai wāhi tahi me te mahi tahi a ētahi tari, pērā i te matawhenua me te wai, hei waihanga tauira. "Ka taea e tātou tēnei," tana kī.
I ia tekau tau, e 17 mita te whenua e ngaro ana. E ai ki a Tākuta Cole o te Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology kua piki ake ngā taumata o te moana mā te 3 mirimita i te tau mai i te tau 1980, arā, 3 henimita i ia tekau tau. I mea ia ahakoa te āhua iti, ki te 0.1 nekehanga noa iho te pari, ka memeha haere ngā mita 17 o te whenua. "He rite tonu te kōrero tawhito. Hei te tau 2050, ka piki ake ngā taumata o te moana mā te 5 mirimita i ia tau," tana kī.
Waihoki, mai i te tau 1980, kua piki ake te maha o ngā awhiowhio mā te 50 ōrau, ā, ko tōna roa mā te 80 ōrau, e ai ki tāna. I roto i tēnei wā, kua toru te nui o te ua nui. I mea ia, i te tau 2050, ka piki ake te ua mā te 10% mō ia pikinga o te pāmahana ki ngā nekehanga Celsius.
Te Pānga o te Huringa Whakamahinga Whenua I kitea i roto i tētahi rangahau mō te Moutere Wera o te Tāone (UHI) o Trivandrum (he kupu e whakamahia ana hei whakaahua i ngā wāhi tāone nui he mahana ake i ngā wāhi taiwhenua) ka piki te pāmahana i roto i ngā wāhi hanga whare, i ngā ngahere raima rānei ki te 30.82 nekehanga Celsius, ki te whakaritea ki te 25.92 nekehanga Celsius i te tau 1988 – he pikinga tata ki te 5 nekehanga i roto i te 34 tau.
I roto i te rangahau i whakaaturia e Tākuta Cole, i whakaatuhia e ia i ngā wāhi tuwhera ka piki te pāmahana mai i te 25.92 nekehanga Celsius i te tau 1988 ki te 26.8 nekehanga Celsius i te tau 2022. I roto i ngā wāhi he otaota, i piki te pāmahana mai i te 26.61 nekehanga Celsius ki te 30.82 nekehanga Celsius i te tau 2022, he pikinga o te 4.21 nekehanga.
I tuhia te pāmahana o te wai ki te 25.21 nekehanga Celsius, he iti iho i te 25.66 nekehanga Celsius i tuhia i te tau 1988, ko te pāmahana he 24.33 nekehanga Celsius;
I kī a Tākuta Cole i piki haere tonu te pāmahana teitei me te pāmahana iti i roto i te moutere wera o te tāone nui i taua wā. "Ka taea hoki e ēnei huringa o te whakamahinga whenua te whakaraerae i te whenua ki ngā horo whenua me ngā waipuke ohorere," tana kī.
I kī a Tākuta Cole me whai rautaki mata-rua te whakatau i te huringa āhuarangi: te whakaiti i te pānga me te urutau. "Kua kore e taea e tātou te whakaiti i te pānga o te huringa āhuarangi. Me mahi tēnei i te taumata o te ao. Me arotahi a Kerala ki te urutau. Kua tautuhia e KSDMA ngā wāhi wera. Whakaratohia he taputapu whakahaere āhuarangi ki ia panchayat," tana kī.
Wā tuku: Hepetema-23-2024